Global Solid Waste Management and Resource Recovery Industry Report

Industry report · Version 1.1 · Global market · Public information cutoff 10 October 2026.

Photo: STEINERT, “STEINERT UniSort PR” · CC BY 4.0 · 29 January 2019. Original photograph unchanged; responsive web versions resized and the display may be cropped to fit. Image evidence I01.

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This report examines municipal solid waste, commercial and industrial residues, construction and demolition materials, hazardous waste, and electronic waste through the businesses that collect, treat and recover them. Agricultural residues and mining wastes are discussed where relevant to material recovery; wastewater services and primary mining are outside the core scope. Statistical boundaries vary, so the report does not present an invented aggregate for every solid-waste stream.

The central finding is that reliable collection, permitted treatment and saleable recovered outputs determine commercial value together. Service revenue can remain resilient while recycled commodity prices weaken. A large physical waste burden does not automatically become a profitable addressable market: someone must fund collection, pay for safe disposal, and purchase recovered materials.

All monetary figures retain their original currencies and accounting definitions. The company comparison uses 2025 full-year disclosures; Sims has a June financial year-end. Later public policy and statistical publications are included through the cutoff. Forecasts are identified as forecasts. The treatment-pathway chart covers municipal solid waste only; the company comparison retains each business's distinct reporting scope.

Part 1: Industry Story

On 15 August 2025, ten days of negotiations in Geneva ended without agreement on the text of a global plastics treaty. Representatives of 183 countries had attended the resumed fifth session of the Intergovernmental Negotiating Committee, known as INC-5.2. The committee adjourned and agreed to resume negotiations at a later date. This was a concrete setback in a process intended to produce an international instrument on plastic pollution. It was also a useful entry point into the waste industry: even a widely traded material can be collected, processed and sold under national systems while governments remain divided over the framework governing its full life cycle. ^[1]

That meeting was not the final episode. On 7 February 2026, INC-5.3 elected Chilean ambassador Julio Cordano as chair. UNEP stated that this resumed session dealt solely with organizational matters and held no substantive negotiations. This dated update establishes what happened at that meeting; it does not establish the status of every subsequent discussion through the report’s 10 October 2026 cutoff. ^[2]

The treaty mandate addresses the whole plastics life cycle. The analytical implication is that the economics of discarded material begins before it reaches a collection vehicle. Product design influences what can be separated; material choices influence what a processor can sell; and responsibility for financing the waste stage influences whether collection happens consistently. The Geneva event should therefore introduce a broader question: how can societies pay for safe handling while recovering materials that manufacturers actually want to use? ^[1]

Plastics provide the opening story, but they do not define the entire sector. This report’s analytical framework extends to organic materials, paper, metals, mineral wastes and hazardous streams, each requiring different decisions. The European Commission’s 2020 Circular Economy Action Plan illustrates the wider direction: it connects product design, waste prevention and keeping resources in use. Industry therefore combines continuing public services with secondary material markets, whose products must become useful manufacturing inputs. ^[8]

Part 2: Industry History

Modern waste engineering developed around practical sanitation and city operations before today’s circular economy language. In a 1940 engineering paper, Fresno public works commissioner Jean L. Vincenz described a sanitary fill service that began on 15 October 1934. His method used trenches, compaction and earth cover, while his account also examined haulage, land, operating costs and public opposition. This is an illustrative local history, not a claim about the world’s first landfill. Its lasting analytical lesson is that waste infrastructure has always depended on both technical operation and the ability to organize a service people will accept. ^[3]

The focus broadened from visible cleanliness to less visible contamination. The United States enacted the Resource Conservation and Recovery Act on 21 October 1976. EPA’s December announcement emphasized hazardous waste handling and disposal, groundwater contamination and the need to end open dumping. These were legal requirements, not proof that every objective was achieved on schedule. For industry analysis, the change helps explain why moving waste and controlling its environmental consequences became distinct sources of value: a disposal location alone could no longer answer the regulatory problem. ^[4]

Cross-border controls added another layer. The Basel Convention was adopted on 22 March 1989 and entered into force on 5 May 1992. Its notification and consent procedures established a framework for controlled movements of covered wastes. Plastic waste amendments adopted in 2019 took effect on 1 January 2021, changing the treatment of different plastic waste categories. Basel did not impose a universal prohibition on all waste trade. The structural consequence is more specific: classifying the material, identifying the destination and establishing appropriate handling became part of the transaction, alongside freight and the material’s resale value. ^[5]

Policy also began to distinguish the purposes of different treatment routes more explicitly. The EU’s 2008 Waste Framework Directive placed prevention and preparation for reuse ahead of recycling, followed by other recovery and disposal. Its definition of recycling excludes energy recovery. It also allowed producer responsibility measures and set conditions for materials to cease being waste. These original provisions are historical evidence, not a complete statement of EU law in 2026. They illustrate an important commercial transition: performance could be assessed through avoided waste, recovered products and responsible handling, rather than simply the quantity delivered to a facility. ^[6]

China’s import policy demonstrates why material channels cannot be assumed to remain fixed. A joint announcement signed on 24 November 2020 prohibited imports of solid waste from 1 January 2021 and ended the relevant import licensing process. This concerned legally classified solid waste; it should not be described as a ban on every secondary raw material. The analytical implication is that processors and exporters need alternatives to a single receiving market. A business model dependent on an enduring foreign outlet can face disruption even when its collection operation remains unchanged. ^[7]

The European Commission’s second Circular Economy Action Plan, adopted on 11 March 2020, placed the whole product life cycle within the policy agenda. Its measures address design, prevention and keeping used resources within the economy. As an analytical framework, this shifts attention from disposal capacity alone toward durability, reuse and demand for secondary inputs. It also creates a tension for conventional volume-based businesses: reducing waste can improve environmental outcomes while reducing the throughput from which some operators earn service fees. ^[8]

More recent packaging policy makes the distinction between policy announcement and operating obligations essential. Regulation (EU) 2025/40, the Packaging and Packaging Waste Regulation, entered into force on 11 February 2025, with application beginning on 12 August 2026. The Commission’s August 2026 explanation describes phased implementation, with important recyclability and recycled plastic content measures applying from 2030. This is an EU packaging example, not a global rule for all solid waste. Its significance is that product requirements and recovery investments increasingly interact, but they do so across different dates, with adjustment costs before every intended benefit can materialize. ^[13]

Part 3 Market Landscape

The industry connects two customers. One pays to have an unwanted material managed safely; another may pay for a recovered material or energy product. Sometimes the same operator serves both, but the revenue streams have different risks. This section separates their roles before comparing scale, processing routes and companies.

The upstream chain

Upstream begins with households, businesses, manufacturers and construction sites that generate discarded materials. Collection contracts, source separation and material specifications decide what arrives at a plant. For analytical purposes, a producer's payment under an extended producer responsibility scheme belongs to the financing layer, rather than to the physical tonnage of recycling. Product design also affects how readily materials can be sorted and reused. ^[6][8]

Equipment and engineering suppliers form another upstream branch. TOMRA supplies sensor-based sorting and reverse vending technology. Kanadevia Inova provides thermal-treatment engineering: its Schwandorf contract covers combustion, boilers and flue-gas treatment. These are equipment and project businesses selling capability to operators, rather than simply receiving a disposal fee for every tonne of waste. Supplier descriptions establish these roles, without proving a uniform recovery yield or investment return. ^[29][32][33]

The midstream chain

Midstream includes collection, transfer, sorting, processing and compliant residual disposal. Integrated operators such as WM and Waste Connections participate in several stages. Veolia's waste activities distinguish solid waste from hazardous waste, while Republic Services combines recycling and waste operations with environmental solutions. Classification links in the industry map describe these roles; they do not represent proven supplier contracts. ^{[25][26][27][28]}

Sorting separates material streams; subsequent processes depend on their composition. Paper, metals and selected plastics enter material recovery; separately collected organics can enter composting or anaerobic digestion; residual material can go to permitted thermal treatment or landfill. Hazardous waste needs its own identification, handling and final-treatment controls. The appropriate route depends on the material and applicable controls, rather than on a single global technology ranking. ^[6][10][12]

Metal recovery illustrates a distinct purchasing business. Sims collects, processes and trades ferrous and non-ferrous scrap and provides IT reuse and recycling services. An operator that buys scrap must cover the purchase price, processing and freight through subsequent sales. Large sales revenue therefore does not by itself demonstrate a large service margin. Its 50% interest in SA Recycling is equity-accounted and must not be treated as fully consolidated sales. ^[30]

The downstream chain

Downstream consists of recovered material customers, energy purchasers and the destination of remaining residues. The products include secondary metals, recycled polymer feedstock, recovered fibre, compost and energy, subject to their respective quality and regulatory requirements. Sims' disclosed metal-trading activities and Republic's operational Indianapolis Polymer Center illustrate two distinct material routes. WM also develops renewable natural gas capacity. ^[25][26][30]

The industrial analysis is straightforward: recovery creates commercial value only when the output meets an actual buyer's specification at an acceptable delivered cost. Mixed collection, unwanted additives or an unsuitable product grade can leave a technically recovered output without an adequate market. Preventing contamination and agreeing offtake terms address different sides of this problem. ^[9]

Role classification as of 10 October 2026. Company names are examples; lines do not establish supply contracts. Companies may appear in more than one role. Sources^{[25][26][27][28][29][30][31][32][33][6][8][9][12]}.

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Physical scale and the limits of a global market total

The World Bank's What a Waste 3.0 estimates global municipal solid waste generation at 2,562 million tonnes in its modeled 2022 baseline and projects 3,855 million tonnes in 2050 under business as usual. The implied increase is approximately 50.5%, calculated from these published endpoints; it is a scenario for physical waste, rather than a revenue forecast. Revised coverage and methods prevent a clean growth comparison with older global reports. ^[14][15]

Other streams show why municipal waste cannot stand for the whole industry. ITU and UNITAR estimate 62 million tonnes of global electronic waste in 2022, with 22.3% documented as formally collected and recycled. That measure does not equal the final yield of recovered metals. China's 2025 bulletin reports preliminary national general industrial solid waste generation of 4,410 million tonnes. The exact 2025 survey coverage was not verified, so the report does not assume the same enterprise boundary as earlier industrial surveys. These streams may overlap with other classifications and are not added to the municipal total. ^[34][18]

For a broader historical example, Eurostat records 1,992 million tonnes of waste treated in the EU in 2022, including industrial and mineral streams. Its 61.4% recovery category includes recycling, backfilling and energy recovery. Treatment and generation also differ because of trade. This figure cannot be compared directly with a municipal recycling rate. ^[35]

No single verified global revenue denominator in this evidence set covers collection services, hazardous treatment, recovered commodity trading and equipment on a consistent basis. Adding their sales can also count the same material at several transactions. UNEP's estimated direct management cost of US$252.3 billion for municipal solid waste in 2020 is a cost-model result, not the commercial revenue or addressable market of the entire industry. ^[12]

Construction and mineral waste

Construction materials create a separate recovery market. EPA estimated 600.330 million US short tons of construction and demolition debris in 2018, including buildings, roads and bridges, separately from municipal waste. Of this, 313.070 million short tons were assigned to aggregate next use and 131.590 million to manufactured products. Its next-use categories also include fuel, so they cannot all be called material recycling. These are historical US estimates, not a global total or current revenue forecast. ^[20]

Eurostat recorded 2,233 million tonnes of waste generated in the EU in 2022: construction accounted for 38.4% and mining and quarrying for 22.7%. This regulatory all-waste scope is broader than dry solid waste and includes substantial mineral streams. Our commercial interpretation is that bulk mineral recovery needs a different appraisal from high-value metal recovery: product specifications, haulage and a nearby receiving market should be examined before a large tonnage is treated as a valuable opportunity. The regional figures cannot be added to the global municipal baseline. ^[19]

The global municipal waste processing mix

Shares of global municipal solid waste generated by mass; World Bank's modeled 2022 baseline. National observations are harmonized and weighted by 2022 waste generation. Published integer percentages sum to 100%. This chart is not company market share or a breakdown of all solid-waste streams.

Use the seven original published percentages directly. 17+15+6+20+17+12+13=100. No normalization, midpoint substitution, or reverse calculation of absolute tonnes.

2022 baseline modeled/weighted aggregate. National treatment observations can come from differing years, predominantly 2020-24. Shares are weighted by 2022 waste generation. Original country and city data are adjusted for missing flows including uncollected waste, informal-sector collection and nonhousehold MSW. See section 1.2, printed pages 5-7, and Appendix C.

Use the report's seven categories as published. Uncollected waste remains a distinct category; do not add self-managed uncollected burning, dumping, recycling or composting as additional slices.

No separate unknown slice is published in Figure 2.16. This does not imply every physical flow was measured: World Bank notes conservative model adjustments may still leave unrecorded flows.

Original Figure 2.16 says Incineration. Section 1.2 printed p. 5 / PDF p. 41 expressly defines all incineration references in the report as incineration with energy recovery. Recycling is separately classified from composting and anaerobic digestion; no unsupported reuse expansion.

Source: Cook, Ionkova, Bhada-Tata, Yadav and van Woerden (2026), What a Waste 3.0, World Bank, Figure 2.16, printed page 29, PDF page 65 ^[15]

Adapted from World Bank data under CC BY 3.0 IGO. The views and interpretations in the adaptation are the report authors’ and are not endorsed by the World Bank.

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The seven published shares are uncollected 17%, recycling 15%, composting and anaerobic digestion 6%, incineration with energy recovery 20%, sanitary landfill 17%, controlled landfill 12%, and dumpsites 13%. Their sum is 100%, using the source's integer percentages without normalization or inferred decimal precision. The World Bank defines references to incineration in this report as incineration with energy recovery. ^[15]

This is a harmonized, mass-weighted 2022 baseline, built from country observations that predominantly cover 2020–2024 and adjusted for missing flows. It is not a simultaneous 2022 census of every plant. Uncollected waste is a separate category; adding self-managed burning or dumping as new slices would count some flows twice. Neither the recycling slice nor the composting-and-digestion slice should be interpreted as a yield of saleable material. ^[15]

The commercial implication is an analytical judgment: spending opportunities differ between an unserved collection area and a mature market upgrading material quality. The chart shows the physical system's structure, without allocating revenue to companies or including every industrial waste stream.

Regional differences

The EU's 2024 municipal statistics show 517 kilograms generated per person and a 48.1% recycling rate. This describes municipal waste, including the source's recycling categories, rather than all EU waste or the share of particular operators. In the US, the EPA national material-flow series still reports 2018 municipal generation of 292.4 million US short tons and recycling plus composting of 32.1%. The years and measurement systems differ, so these are separate reference points rather than a current league table. ^[16][17]

China's latest verified 2025 bulletin reports 264.8213 million tonnes of urban household waste collected, rather than nationwide urban-and-rural waste generation. Its preliminary national general industrial solid waste figures are 4,410 million tonnes generated, 2,650 million tonnes comprehensively utilized and 820 million tonnes disposed. Utilization and disposal may include previous inventories, so their sum is not a closed mass balance of that year's generation. The indicators have distinct coverage and cannot determine Asia's or the world's market shares. ^[18]

Global e-waste data also show a collection gap: documented formal collection and recycling reached 42.8% in Europe in 2022, while Africa was below 1%. The statistics establish a difference in recorded systems, without proving that all unrecorded material was unrecovered. More complete collection records and safe treatment can both be necessary. ^[34]

The operating implications are the author's synthesis. Regions with established services can focus on product quality, route productivity and existing-asset upgrades. Under-served markets first need dependable collection, operating budgets and suitable final destinations. Neither geography guarantees profitability: payment reliability, enforcement and local material demand remain decisive.

Representative companies and accounting boundaries

These firms are examples across business models rather than a ranked global-share table. WM, Republic Services and Waste Connections disclose predominantly North American service networks. Veolia's waste division is separated from its water and energy activities; SUEZ's group reporting includes water and cannot be converted into a precise consolidated waste-only revenue by combining rounded segment percentages. TOMRA also includes food sorting. ^{[25][26][27][28][29][31]}

The reported profit measures are deliberately retained: adjusted EBITDA for the three North American operators, company-defined EBITDA for Veolia's waste activity and SUEZ's group, EBITA for TOMRA, and statutory net loss for Sims. EBITDA measures can differ between companies and omit capital consumption and financing costs; an EBITA margin or net result cannot be ranked against an EBITDA margin as though they measured the same thing. The table's differing revenue scopes reinforce that limitation.

How operators earn money

The first model sells collection and compliant handling. Its economics depend on service price, customer retention, route density, transport distances and the cost of the receiving facility. The second sells processing capacity, often with a fee per tonne and sometimes a longer concession or operation contract. The third sells recovered commodities, with purchase cost, grade, yield and freight determining the spread. Equipment vendors instead receive project, equipment and service revenue. This classification is an analytical framework based on the disclosed businesses.

Price and physical volume can move differently. WM reported 2025 collection-and-disposal core price of 6.3% and volume of 0.1% on its own definitions. Waste Connections' reported revenue rose from US$8.920 billion to US$9.467 billion, while acquisitions and divestitures affected the comparison. These disclosures caution against reading revenue growth as a measure of growing waste generation. ^[25][27]

Contract announcements also require boundaries. Veolia reported UK waste contracts won or extended with cumulative backlog above GBP1 billion. That is not one year's recognized revenue. Schwandorf's two replacement lines are designed for approximately 350,000 tonnes annually in combination, but the contract announcement does not establish their realized throughput or disclose a contract value. ^[28][33]

The same distinction applies to commodity recovery. WM's reported single-stream commodity basket averaged US$75 per ton in 2025 versus US$92 in 2024. Republic's own recycled commodity basket averaged US$135 per ton, down US$29. The baskets are different and their price levels are not compared; each within-company movement shows that operating revenue can face commodity pressure even when collection tariffs improve. ^[25][26]

What evidence would demonstrate durable performance

An analyst should follow the full mass balance from material generated, to collected, to accepted at a facility, to saleable output and residual destination. Those stages should share a defined reporting period and compatible units. Capacity, incoming tonnage and successful material recovery are three different measures. Contracts should identify volume obligations, specification risks, price adjustment and who pays when material is rejected.

A useful operating evaluation then connects this mass balance to cash: fees collected, output proceeds, purchased feedstock, labour and energy, transport, rejected residues, maintenance, and closure obligations. This is the author's evaluation framework, not a universally disclosed industry accounting metric. It makes the central tradeoff visible: more tonnes can increase a plant's utilization while simultaneously lowering its average material quality or increasing the cost of final disposal.

Part 4: Industry Challenges

The first challenge is financing a continuing service. UNEP and ISWA estimated global municipal waste management’s direct cost at US$252.3 billion in 2020; their broader model reached US$361 billion after external impacts and recycling gains. Neither number is industry revenue. The report also warns that financing facilities without providing for continuing collection and operation can produce failure. Our assessment therefore asks who pays the recurring bill, how reliably fees are collected and whether maintenance remains funded after construction. Funding a plant can add capacity without ensuring that usable material reaches it. Practical responses include explicit operating budgets, payment arrangements and service performance measures, although these cannot create payment capacity where it is absent. The same system assessment should include informal waste workers, whose contribution UNEP identifies as undervalued. Mechanization and formalization should be judged partly by their effect on workers’ income, safety and participation, alongside physical throughput; designing that transition does not remove the need to fund the service itself. ^[12]

Organic waste creates a climate problem that cannot be measured only through disposal tonnage. UNEP and the Climate and Clean Air Coalition’s 2021 assessment attributed about 20% of global human-caused methane to landfills and wastewater together. That boundary is broader than this report’s solid waste sector. The assessment identifies source separation, diverting organic material and collecting or flaring landfill gas among mitigation approaches. For project appraisal, the relevant question is how much methane is actually prevented or captured during operation. Our analysis would compare separation costs, operating requirements and usable energy output, while checking whether gas recovery can be maintained. A theoretical resource estimate is not a sales forecast. These measures address different stages of the system, so their effectiveness depends on the material entering the facility and the continuing ability to operate it. ^[10]

Recycling faces connected technical and commercial limits. OECD estimated that only 9% of global plastic waste was ultimately recycled in 2019, after process losses. This is a plastics result, not a current recycling rate for all solid waste. Its analysis explains that mechanical recycling can degrade material quality and that secondary plastics prices are influenced by primary plastics, while collection, sorting and processing still have to be paid for. The commercial problem is therefore not solved by increasing intake alone. A recycler needs enough saleable output at an acceptable specification and price. OECD identifies recycled content standards, producer responsibility and design measures as ways to strengthen demand or supply. Our assessment would pair these with buyer specifications and contracts rather than assume that an incentive guarantees profitable output. Cleaner inputs and better separation can help, but the economics remains sensitive to quality, yield and competing material prices. Collected material, processed material and products sold should consequently be reported separately: each measures a different stage, and losses between them determine how much of a nominal recovery opportunity becomes an actual product. ^[9]

Hazardous waste adds a different cost mechanism: identifying and controlling risk. EPA’s 1976 RCRA announcement emphasized standards for handling, transport and ultimate disposal, as well as contamination from inadequately controlled land disposal. For this report, that history supports an appraisal based on material characterization and the treatment process rather than weight alone. Sampling, suitable handling and documented responsibility add expense, but omitting them can leave the original problem unresolved. Our analytical recommendation is to examine those costs explicitly. A lower treatment quotation cannot establish equivalent environmental performance or show that later remediation costs have disappeared. ^[4]

Treatment routes also serve different objectives. Under the EU’s 2008 framework, energy recovery is excluded from recycling, while the waste hierarchy allows justified departures based on life-cycle outcomes. Our analysis therefore evaluates a facility against its intended function instead of treating every recovered unit of energy as a recovered unit of material. Material recovery, energy recovery and safe disposal require distinct performance measures. Selecting a route should account for what is displaced, what remains and whether the operation meets its purpose; no single label establishes the best result for every waste stream. ^[6]

Recent trade figures show why destination monitoring remains necessary. OECD’s Monitoring trade in plastic waste and scrap 2026 was published on 9 October 2026, one day before this report’s cutoff, but its latest statistics cover 2024. It found that OECD exports to non-OECD destinations rose by 0.21 million tonnes, or 15%, from 2023. These are reported trade flows, not verified recovery outcomes. The paper explicitly notes that customs data cannot identify ultimate treatment or reliably distinguish transit destinations from final importers. Our analytical response is to examine the receiving operation and evidence of completion alongside the shipment record. This adds verification costs and may narrow available outlets, but a border crossing alone cannot establish either successful recycling or illegal disposal. ^[11]

Basel’s procedures reinforce that distinction. For covered movements, notification, written consent and arrangements for environmentally sound management are part of the control framework. The quality and classification of plastic waste also affect its treatment under the convention. Our analysis treats documentation and material quality as transaction requirements, rather than an administrative task to complete after arranging a sale. Improving separation and identifying appropriate receiving facilities can help preserve legitimate trade. Their limitation is that compliant documents alone do not measure an operator’s actual performance; oversight must continue through the transaction. ^[5]

Policy can improve demand while introducing a timing problem. The Commission’s 2026 PPWR explanation distinguishes the start of application in August 2026 from later measures, including important requirements scheduled for 2030. For investors, our analytical implication is to match capacity expansion to the relevant product category and obligation date. Expected regulatory demand is not present contracted demand. Earlier investment may support preparation, but it can also leave equipment underused if customers, specifications or implementing measures develop differently. A phased plan provides time for adaptation; it does not remove financing and execution risk. ^[13]

Facilities must also fit their locality. Vincenz’s historical engineering account already discussed transport, land and operating conditions rather than presenting disposal technology as independent of place. Our assessment carries that practical question into project selection: what material will arrive, over what distance and with which operating resources? Choosing equipment first and assuming the supply system will follow reverses the dependency. Local measurements and service planning can improve the decision, but historical experience cannot provide a modern plant’s safety standard, cost estimate or guaranteed performance. Those require evidence specific to the proposed operation. ^[3]

Prevention creates an incentive question. The Commission’s circular economy agenda seeks to avoid waste and keep resources in use. Our analysis asks whether contracts reward that outcome: a payment structure based solely on tonnes handled can favor throughput even when the public objective is to reduce it. ^[8]

Finally, global negotiations and national obligations evolve on different tracks. UNEP’s February 2026 session addressed organization without substantive talks, while China’s solid waste import prohibition had already applied from January 2021. Neither event establishes a uniform global operating framework. Our analysis therefore treats policy monitoring as a continuing business task: operators need to distinguish a negotiating mandate, an adopted rule and an applicable obligation. Developing alternative outlets and allowing for changing requirements can improve resilience, but waiting for international agreement does not suspend existing national responsibilities or resolve immediate operating costs. ^[2][7]

Supporting Evidence

These 35 research materials support the report’s claims within the boundaries recorded below. Original materials are linked at their publishers and are not redistributed here. The separate photograph record I01 documents image provenance rather than industry statistics.

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Figure methods and boundaries

Shares of global municipal solid waste generated by mass; World Bank's modeled 2022 baseline. National observations are harmonized and weighted by 2022 waste generation. Published integer percentages sum to 100%. This chart is not company market share or a breakdown of all solid-waste streams.

Use the seven original published percentages directly. 17+15+6+20+17+12+13=100. No normalization, midpoint substitution, or reverse calculation of absolute tonnes.

The 2050 scenario is approximately 50.5% above the 2022 baseline: (3,855/2,562 − 1) × 100 = 50.468%. Published endpoints in million tonnes are used; this is not revenue growth. ^[14][15]

Role classification as of 10 October 2026. Company names are examples; lines do not establish supply contracts. Companies may appear in more than one role. Sources^{[25][26][27][28][29][30][31][32][33][6][8][9][12]}.

The processing chart is adapted from World Bank data under CC BY 3.0 IGO. The adaptation’s views and interpretations belong to the report authors and are not endorsed by the World Bank.

I01 · Cover photograph and image evidence

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